[Futuregen] Draft cohort analysis on caregiving (WP2) - for discussion on 24.3

[Ricardo Rodrigues]

Dear colleagues,


Please find attached the first results of the cohort analysis for 
caregiving for WP2 (Task 2.2, I think).

The document includes an analysis on the evolution of gender and income 
inequalities for the probability to give informal care, as well as for 
intensity of care. The analysis was done for Europe (except Eastern 
Europe) and then for clusters of countries, following the same typology 
as used by Stefan and Johan in the WP1 paper on disability trajectories 
(except for Eastern Europe - it was not possible to run the models for 
this cluster).

For each geographical unit of analysis and gender or income you will 
find two graphs: an unadjusted model (similar to the one Stefan and 
Johan fitted for the paper in WP1), and an adjusted model which controls 
for self-reported health, education and co-residing with a partner or 
spouse. I attach also the pdf of a paper referred to in the document.

This is definitely more than what will make it to one article alone and 
some results will eventually be shown as a table. The preferred option 
right now is to focus on gender, with an analysis of Europe as a whole 
(possibly showing the adjusted and unadjusted models) and then the 
geographical disaggregation (possibly with the adjusted models only). An 
alternative could be to just take the adjusted models and do a 
gender/income comparison, plus the geographical cluster?...

The models might not exactly be final yet - gender would likely be added 
to the adjusted income models (experimented with this already and 
results do not seem to fundamentally change) and vice-versa - but the 
results seem relatively robust to some different specifications.

What I would like to ask from you:

i) comments on the results and underlying mechanisms

ii) your opinion on the most interesting story lines to decide on the 
exact focus of the paper or papers.

The discussion of this document will be part of the agenda for the next 
meeting.

Finally, a big shout-out to Johan and Stefan for their input on the 
methods for this!

Looking forward to the discussion and your inputs.


Best wishes,

Ricardo

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